Table of contents:
- Ruble's exchange rate
- Sanctions against the RF
- Russia friend or foe
- When can we expect a warming relationship?
- Why the personality of the president is not the main thing in the forecast of relations between the two countries
Video: Joe Biden's attitude towards Russia
2024 Author: James Gerald | [email protected]. Last modified: 2023-12-17 14:00
Joe Biden's attitude towards Russia is being actively discussed due to his confrontation with Donald Trump in the US elections. Let us study expert opinions on what can await our country if a Democratic candidate is elected.
Ruble's exchange rate
One area that many Russians believe may be affected by Biden's election is the exchange rate of the national currency. Yevgeny Minchenko, director of the International Institute of Political Expertise, claims that in any case, there will be at least a small connection between the ruble exchange rate and the election of a new American president.
The expert believes that the strengthening of the American currency will be a natural result of the establishment of clarity in the elections. As long as both candidates express doubts about the fairness of the elections, the strengthening of the American currency should not be expected.
A. Morozov, a member of the International Affairs Committee, believes that the key differences between Trump and Biden relate mainly to domestic politics. An example is socio-economic programs. For this reason, Morozov is of the opinion that the election of a Democratic candidate for the post of American leader will not affect the domestic currency.
Sanctions against the RF
Trying to analyze what awaits Russia if Biden wins, it is imperative to consider the issue of sanctions. Vladimir Dzhabarov, First Deputy Chairman of the Federation Council Committee on International Affairs, believes that there will be no significant changes in relations between Russia and America.
The expert speaks about the Russian sanctions, which were introduced both under Clinton, and later, under the Republicans and Democrats. Since then, they have only been supplemented, but no restrictions have been lifted.
Political analyst Yevgeny Minchenko believes that after Joe Biden comes to power, new sanctions will be introduced against Russia, and their list will only gradually expand. But in general, the expert adheres to the position that the situation will be approximately the same as under Trump. In his opinion, America sees Russia as a convenient enemy, and therefore will always find a reason to infringe on our rights.
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Rafael Ordukhanyan, an Americanist and political scientist, has no doubt that Russia should wait for new US sanctions. At the same time, there will be no dependence on the personality of the American leader. The expert says that the reason for the strengthening of the sanctions is the consolidation of America and Western Europe in the sanctions policy against our state.
The two main dominant parties, Republicans and Democrats in the United States, are practically at war with each other. But, despite numerous contradictions, they nevertheless coincide with each other in key goals.
Russia friend or foe
Today, there are many opinions that Russia will not expect anything good if Biden wins. Political analyst Yevgeny Minchenko claims that he sees a danger in Russia, moreover, he has openly stated this more than once. The representative of the Democratic Party sees even more threat in Russia than in China, for this reason he has a more negative attitude than Trump.
At the same time, according to the expert, Biden will respect the existing agreements on security more. He openly criticized Trump for allegedly being loyal to Russia and Putin, allowing him to interfere in American affairs and influencing them. But if you take an objective look at Trump's policies during his rule, then there were quite few positive actions towards our country on his part.
No one has previously imposed such a volume of sanctions on Russia as Trump. He made it much more difficult for citizens of our state to obtain visas, organized scandalous searches in the offices of domestic diplomats living in the United States. The conclusion suggests itself that even if Trump was elected, it would not be worth expecting any mega-positive changes for Russia in any case.
When can we expect a warming relationship?
It is unlikely that such a scenario can be considered realistic, and there are several reasons for this. First, historically, Russia and the United States have always been strategic and geopolitical enemies. The only exception can be called the period of the 90s, when Russia became indirectly dependent on America due to the difficult economic situation. This is already a good reason not to hope for the American leader's desire to improve relations with Moscow.
Second, Washington makes demands on Russia that run counter to its national interests. Of course, if Russia fulfills them one fine day and, moreover, pleads guilty to all the crimes that the American side accuses it, it will be possible to count on a thaw in relations. But this is not possible.
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Why the personality of the president is not the main thing in the forecast of relations between the two countries
Yes, on the one hand, Biden has said more than once that he will do everything to weaken Russia's position in the political and financial markets. And yet you need to understand how the system of governing the country in America works. Unlike our state, the president does not have such substantial and unlimited power.
The President of the United States is far from deciding everything, besides there is the post of Vice President, and also people who occupy other important leadership positions and are able to influence key aspects of American politics. Therefore, even if a person who is determined to improve relations with Moscow comes to power in America, he will hardly be allowed to do so.
Biden is a supporter of US finance capital. If elected president, America will set a course for dominance in the financial markets.
According to many experts, if Russia can convince America that it does not pose a significant obstacle to achieving its goal, it will be possible to count on the opportunity to reach an agreement. In such a situation, an important role will be played by the personality of the negotiators, who will be present during the discussion of such important issues, and not only the figure of the new US president.
Outcomes
- Biden has repeatedly stated his intention to confront Russia and Putin, as well as to strengthen NATO.
- In forecasting relations between America and Russia, experts are divided into two camps. Some say that the sanctions will continue to increase, while others are confident that the situation will be slightly worse, as in the case if Trump comes to power.
- If we analyze the opinions expressed by various political scientists and representatives of related fields, then objectively we cannot expect a significant warming between our countries. But, in addition to Biden's personality, in the future situation, personalities holding other important leading positions in the United States will also matter, since the president in America does not have such a strong and unlimited influence as in Russia.
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