What happens if Biden becomes president of the United States

2024 Author: James Gerald | [email protected]. Last modified: 2023-12-17 14:00

The media reported that a candidate from the Democratic Party won the elections in the United States. The current head of the White House intends to challenge the results of the voting in court and prove the fact of their falsification. The proceedings may take several days or even weeks, but many are already thinking about what will happen if Biden becomes the president of the United States, and how he will behave as head of state.

What will change for the Russian economy

According to some analysts, the presidency of Joseph Robinette Biden does nothing good for Russia. At the same time, the ruble began to grow against the background of news about the resolution of the presidential race in the United States and it is quite possible that it will strengthen further.

By the evening of November 5, at the Moscow Exchange auction, the dollar, which had previously cost 80.5 rubles, fell in price to 76.7 rubles per unit. However, at the end of the week, the “American” rose again to 77.4 rubles. Nevertheless, one should not hope for any breakthrough in relations between the two countries and a weakening of anti-Russian sanctions by the United States.

Natalia Orlova, chief economist at Alfa Bank, believes that the impact of the sanctions news on the Russian stock market and the national currency should not be exaggerated. But at the same time, the introduction of new sanctions can seriously shake the market and cause a real storm, as it was in April 2018. Then the measures taken by the United States against Oleg Deripaska and other Russian entrepreneurs led to a collapse of the stock market and a rapid fall of the ruble (by 8%).

From the point of view of Vladimir Dzhabarov, First Deputy Chairman of the Committee on International Affairs, now the Russian economy is more stable, and the dependence of the national currency on various disasters and the cost of energy resources is minimized. “The situation is more or less stable, because our ruble exchange rate depends not only on external factors. I don't think it will have a big impact. This epic is not over yet. There will still be recounts, lawsuits, proceedings,”he explained.

Anton Morozov, a member of the State Duma Committee on International Affairs, agrees with him. The official is sure that nothing threatens the ruble exchange rate, regardless of who becomes the president of the United States. He also noted that the foreign policy behavior of the States has always been distinguished by pragmatism, and nothing will change with the coming to power of a new president.

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"America, following its own economic interests, is trying to establish on the territory of other states a model of behavior that is beneficial for itself, and the pressure of sanctions is associated only with the expansion of Russia's sphere of influence in foreign markets," the expert adds.

Political relations between the United States and the Russian Federation

Biden will pursue a tough, but quite predictable policy: active NATO advancement closer to the Russian borders, characteristic of democrats, strengthening the fight against human rights violations and a new package of sanctions related to the poisoning of blogger Navalny, "interference in the US elections", the situation in Belarus and Nagorny Karabakh.

Most likely, none of these scenarios will be fully implemented, since this will negatively affect the States themselves. But practice shows that, as a rule, the countries of the Eurozone join the American half-measures, which do not want to complicate economic relations with America. And collective pressure may become more significant for Russia, while the opposite effect for the United States will become insignificant.

Changes for USA

Joseph Biden, as an adherent of the Marxist theory of Black Lives Matter, plans to thank the black electorate who voted for him with fresh charity projects and to write off student tuition arrears. He also considers one of the main tasks to increase the minimum wage to $ 15 / hour, which was previously considered an economically untenable proposal. Naturally, to implement this idea, it will be necessary to increase taxes, and this will affect primarily wealthy Americans.

What will change in the world

Biden became the head of state at an unusually difficult time for the United States in terms of both foreign and domestic policy. During the presidency of Donald Trump, the world has become accustomed to constant threats and pressure from the United States, and the new owner of the Oval Office plans to “correct the mistakes” of his predecessor and pursue a softer policy towards other states.

Most likely, Joe will pay special attention to the restoration of allied ties of the United States in the field of security and trade: he will maintain membership in NATO, return to the ranks of the WHO and work to strengthen economic ties between America and the countries of the European Union.

In addition, the ban established by the 45th President of America regarding the entry of citizens from the Middle East into the country will be lifted. All these intentions indicate Biden's desire to return to the days when the country was ruled by a black leader, and Joe himself was the second person with him.

As for international politics, its vector is unlikely to change. Joe Biden, like his predecessor, supports the fight against the PRC, the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan and the reconciliation of Israel with neighboring countries.

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USA and Russia

As for the changes for Russia, the strengthening of the alliance between the United States and the EU may result in an increase in anti-Russian sanctions, but analysts also note advantages. Thus, according to Alexei Naumov, a journalist and expert on international affairs, the strengthening of US-European relations will lead to the abandonment of US pressure on the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline, and anti-Russian rhetoric will not be used in America as an instrument of domestic political pressure.

In addition, Biden advocates maintaining arms control, which means that the Russian Federation can count on the renegotiation of the treaty on measures to further reduce and limit strategic offensive arms. Meanwhile, the politician has repeatedly mentioned his "special" attitude towards Russia and stressed that if he wins the elections, the pressure on Moscow will only intensify.

“I warn the Kremlin and other foreign governments: if I am elected president, I will regard foreign interference in our elections as hostile actions that significantly affect the relationship between the US and the government of the intervening country,” he said in his official speech.

USA and China

Donald Trump made a significant "contribution" to the aggravation of relations between the PRC and the United States, accusing China of the widespread spread of the coronavirus, which provoked a significant economic decline and led to a deterioration in the quality of life of millions of Americans.

Joe Biden, in turn, considers China to be a "serious competitor" and notes the need to strengthen ties with US allies in Asia. Therefore, one should not expect a softening of Washington's policy towards the PRC either.

In his campaign speeches, the Democrat announced the tightening of actions against Beijing and the cancellation of the agreement on the first stage of the trade deal, which was signed by the incumbent president. The politician intends to introduce a new package of sanctions against China, expand the broadcasting zone of the Voice of America radio in Tibetan and meet with the spiritual leader of the Tibetans, the Dalai Lama.

USA and former Soviet republics

From the point of view of experts, with the coming to power of a democrat in the United States, actions in the territory of the former Soviet republics are intensified. In particular, the Democratic candidate intends to support Ukraine and continue the supply of lethal weapons initiated by Trump. At the same time, "sleeping Joe" expresses solidarity with the opposition forces of Belarus and promises to significantly expand the sanctions package regarding Lukashenka's supporters.

Outcomes

According to the latest media reports, a Democratic pariah candidate has become the president of the United States. But the election results can be challenged by the incumbent head of state, Donald Trump. After taking office, Joseph Biden plans to tighten the sanctions policy against Russia and China.

America will face higher minimum wages and higher taxes. The plans of the new head of state include providing assistance to Ukraine by increasing the supply of weapons, as well as to the opposition forces of Belarus in the fight against the Lukashenka regime.